DATA · CATASTROPHE LOG

Catastrophe log

Reported estimates. Loss estimates for catastrophes as modellers, insurers, brokers and rating agencies publish them, newest event first, each revision under its event. Figures are as each estimator states them; estimates from different estimators measure different things and are never added together. Every estimate links to its report.

Raphaela

DateEstimatorEstimate (reported)MeasuresArea
20 Oct 2026PERILS
other
EUR 3.296 billion
via Insurance Business (UK)
insured lossesFrance, Germany, Switzerland and Italy
19 Oct 2026PerilsEUR 3.3bn
via Commercial Risk
insured lossesfour countries
19 Oct 2026PERILS
other
EUR 3.296bn
via Reinsurance News
insured lossesFrance, Germany, Switzerland and Italy
19 Oct 2026PERILS AG
other
EUR 3,296 million
via Artemis
insured lossesFrance, Germany, Switzerland and Italy

Isaias

DateEstimatorEstimate (reported)MeasuresArea
19 Oct 2026Moody's RMSUSD 2.5bn to 4.5bn
via Commercial Risk
insured losses
16 Oct 2026Moody’s RMS Event Response
modeller
USD 2.5 billion to 4.5 billion
via Artemis, Reinsurance News
insured losses
15 Oct 2026Karen Clark & Company (KCC)
modeller
USD 3 billion
via Artemis, Reinsurance News, Insurance Journal, royalgazette.com, Insurance Business (US), Intelligent Insurer, Carrier Management, Claims Journal
insured lossesGulf Coast
13 Oct 2026modeling companies
modeller
USD 1 billion to 3 billion
via Business Insurance, Insurance Business (US), Insurance Business (US)
insured lossesFlorida Panhandle and southern Alabama
13 Oct 2026Verisk
modeller
USD 1 billion to 2 billion
via Insurance Business (US), Reinsurance News, Verisk, Intelligent Insurer, Insurance Edge
insured lossesFlorida Panhandle
13 Oct 2026Verisk
modeller
USD 1bn to 2bn
via Artemis
insured lossesFlorida Panhandle
13 Oct 2026Euler ILS Partners
other
USD 2 billion to 4 billion
via Artemis
insured losses
12 Oct 2026CotalityUSD 2 billion to 3 billion
via Insurance Business (US), Reinsurance News
insured losses
9 Oct 2026BMS Group
broker
USD 3 billion to 5 billion
via Insurance Business (US)
insured losses

France riots

DateEstimatorEstimate (reported)MeasuresArea
19 Oct 2026Morningstar DBRS
rating agency
EUR 1 billion to 1.2 billion
via Reinsurance News
insured lossesFrance

This summer’s wildfires in France

DateEstimatorEstimate (reported)MeasuresArea
19 Oct 2026France Assureurs
other
EUR 563 million
via Business Insurance
insured lossesFrance

Southern Ontario severe storm outbreak

DateEstimatorEstimate (reported)MeasuresArea
8 Oct 2026CatIQ
other
CAD 563 million
via Artemis, Business Insurance
insured lossesSouthern Ontario

Read by an automated extractor from each report; a figure it cannot quote from the report is left out. Last updated 20 Oct 2026.

The daily briefing