Risk & Catastrophe · Survey

AXA survey: experts rank AI as their top emerging risk for the first time, ahead of climate change

AXA's 13th Future Risks Report, published on 13 October with Ipsos, finds that risks from artificial intelligence and big data now rank first among experts, up from fourth in 2025. Climate change remains the public's top concern. Only 9% of experts who rank AI highly think public authorities are well prepared, and 3% in Europe.

Illustration of a desk with an open ledger and a plain line chart next to a small server cabinet, with hills and clouds seen through a window.
Illustration generated with AI for insurewire.org. Not a photograph of the event.

AXA published its 13th Future Risks Report on 13 October. For the first time since the report began, experts place risks linked to artificial intelligence and big data first, ahead of climate change. AI ranked fourth in last year's edition. Insurance Business reported that this is only the second year in the survey's history that climate has not led, the first being 2020.

Ipsos ran the survey between 14 May and 24 June 2026, Insurance Business reported, with 4,345 experts in 62 countries and a separate sample of 24,000 members of the public in 19 countries. Among the public, climate change still ranks first in every age group, while AI rose from seventh to second.

AXA said 54% of experts who rank AI among their top risks see it as rapidly emerging. Only 9% of them think public authorities are well prepared, falling to 3% in Europe. Energy risks rose to fifth place among experts. Across both samples, 85% said their most pressing risk can be at least partly prevented, and 68% of the public said insurers have an important role in protecting society from emerging risks.

Insurance Business linked the findings to questions from buyers about whether cyber policies respond to losses caused by generative AI. It reported that carriers are adding AI-specific exclusions, revised forms and affirmative endorsements, which vary by line and can leave gaps between layers. AXA chief executive Thomas Buberl said insurance "is an essential factor of stability."

Read the source

AXA ↗

Company · 13 Oct 2026

This is an original brief based on the linked publication. Company statements and forecasts are attributed to their source.

Continue reading

All stories →
Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe

PERILS puts initial insured loss from August storm Raphaela at €3.3bn

PERILS has published an initial estimate of €3.296bn for insured property and motor losses from severe convective storm Raphaela, which hit France, Germany, Switzerland and Italy from 26 to 28 August 2026. The Swiss losses rank among that market's largest catastrophe losses on record, Reinsurance News reported, and PERILS will publish an updated estimate on 28 November.

Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe · In context

Insurers receive 897 initial flood claims across Istanbul and three other provinces

Floods after Istanbul's heaviest rainfall in 84 years had produced 897 initial insurance claims in four provinces by 15 October, according to industry data cited by Middle East Insurance Review. Turkey's insurance association calls these early figures, and only an estimated 17-20% of Istanbul property is insured.

Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe

CFC estimates US small-business cyber take-up at 30-40%, against 10-15% in comparable markets

Specialist insurer CFC estimates that 30% to 40% of small and medium-sized US businesses buy cyber insurance, against about 10% to 15% in comparable markets such as the UK, Canada and Australia, Insurance Business reported. CFC's Lindsey Maher blamed long application forms, hesitant brokers and late renewal talks, which she said are much the same in every country.

The daily briefing