Risk & Catastrophe · Industry loss estimate

PERILS raises its insured loss estimate for July's European convective storms to €2.8bn

PERILS has raised its insured market loss estimate for the severe convective storms that hit Germany, France, Switzerland and Italy on 13-19 July 2026 to €2.806bn, up about 28% from €2.186bn in August. The update follows its €3.296bn first estimate for late-August storm Raphaela, published a day earlier.

Illustration of two European houses beside an orchard tree, with hailstones on the roof and ground beneath a storm cloud.
Illustration. Not a photograph of the event.

Industry loss index provider PERILS published its second estimate for the mid-July storm system, which it calls SCS Cerry, on 20 October. It now puts the insurance market loss at €2,806m, about 28% above the €2,186m first estimate it issued at the end of August. The storms struck Germany, France, Switzerland and Italy between 13 and 19 July.

According to Artemis, the estimate is built from loss data supplied by affected insurers and covers property and motor business. PERILS plans a third estimate on 19 January 2027.

The revision came one day after PERILS put the first industry loss for the late-August outbreak known as Raphaela, which hit parts of western Europe on 26-28 August, at €3,296m. On PERILS figures, the two summer storm systems together now exceed €6bn of insured loss.

PERILS and its Canadian subsidiary CatIQ also raised their estimate for the storms of 2-3 September in southern Ontario, including Toronto, to C$671m from C$563m, with a further update due on 3 December, Artemis reported. PERILS product manager Luzi Hitz said the updates show that convective storms are a major risk for insurers in Europe and Canada, pointing to more exposed assets such as solar panels and roof windows, economic growth and a warmer climate that produces more damaging storms.

Read the source

PERILS AG ↗

Company · 20 Oct 2026

This is an original brief based on the linked publication. Company statements and forecasts are attributed to their source.

Continue reading

All stories →
Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe

Morningstar DBRS puts French riot insured losses below €1.2bn and urges insurers to treat unrest as an accumulation risk

Morningstar DBRS estimates insured losses from France's latest riots at below €1.2bn, assuming no further violence. The rating agency says strikes, riots and civil commotion now behave like a catastrophe peril, producing many correlated claims across lines, and should get dedicated pricing, limits and reinsurance. France is preparing a state-backed riot insurance scheme.

Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe

PERILS puts initial insured loss from August storm Raphaela at €3.3bn

PERILS has published an initial estimate of €3.296bn for insured property and motor losses from severe convective storm Raphaela, which hit France, Germany, Switzerland and Italy from 26 to 28 August 2026. The Swiss losses rank among that market's largest catastrophe losses on record, Reinsurance News reported, and PERILS will publish an updated estimate on 28 November.

Illustration

Risk & Catastrophe · In context

Insurers receive 897 initial flood claims across Istanbul and three other provinces

Floods after Istanbul's heaviest rainfall in 84 years had produced 897 initial insurance claims in four provinces by 15 October, according to industry data cited by Middle East Insurance Review. Turkey's insurance association calls these early figures, and only an estimated 17-20% of Istanbul property is insured.

The daily briefing